Tracking System

HW-22 - In progress

HW-22 ESTIMATE OR MODEL THE SJBE’S VULNERABILITY TO THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, AND PRESENT ADAPTATION MEASURES

 

Update 2017:  In 2013, the report Assessing the San Juan Bay Estuary Program’s Vulnerabilities to Climate Change was published. This summarized the assessment done using the Climate Ready Estuaries (CRE) Workbook, and started SJBEP’s path to becoming a Climate Ready Estuary. Additionally, in 2015 the SJBEP produced the San Juan Bay Estuary Climate Change Adaptation Plan, thus creating the baseline to develop and implement adaptation strategies in future work plans.

 

22.1 Organize a multisectoral workshop of experts to develop a Coastal Vulnerability and Risk Analysis for the SJBE, in order to identify the expected impacts of climate change on the Estuary and on at-risk areas within the Estuary. Participants in implementation: SJBEP (principal), PRDNER’s Coastal Zone Program, USFWS, NOAA, FEMA, USACE, EPA, PREQB, UPR-Mayagüez Marine Sciences Program, representatives from academia and the civil society.

 

Implementation: Short-term

 

22.2. Analyze the information discussed in the workshop and prepare a report summarizing the principal findings. Share the report with participants. Participants in implementation: SJBEP

 

Implementation: Short-term

 

22.3 Prepare a Vulnerability Assessment Handbook to guide the analysis of the Estuary’s vulnerability to climate change. Participants in implementation: SJBEP (principal), EPA-CREP, PRDNER, USGS, NOAA, USFWS, FEMA, USACE, UPRMayagüez Marine Sciences Program

 

Implementation: Short-term

 

22.4 Organize a workshop to discuss the draft handbook proposed in strategy 22.3. Participants in implementation: SJBEP (principal), PRDNER’s Coastal Zone Program, USFWS, NOAA, FEMA, USACE, EPA, PREQB, UPR-Mayagüez Marine Sciences Program, representatives from the civil society

 

Implementation: Short-term

 

22.5 Design and implement a program to monitor climate change for the SJBE and analyze the impact of these effects on the ecosystem. This monitoring should include measurements of coastal erosion, temperature of bodies of water, and increase in sea levels at different points in the Estuary. Participants in implementation: SJBEP (principal), PRDNER, USFWS, UPRMayagüez Marine Sciences Program

 

Implementation: Short-term. Part of this strategy began to be implemented in the summer of 2012 with the installation of sensors to measure sea levels.

 

22.6 Using existing data and studies, develop a model of expected impacts of climate change on the SJBE. Participants in implementation: SJBEP (principal), PRDNER, USFWS, UPRMayagüez Marine Sciences Program, Florida International University (FIU)

 

Implementation: Short-term

 

22.7 Following the Handbook proposed in strategy 22.3 and using the results of the model of climate-change impacts in 23.6, develop a Vulnerability Analysis for the SJBE that will identify the risks to and impacts on the ecosystem, the economy, and society. Participants in implementation: SJBEP (principal), PRDNER’s Coastal Zone Program, USFWS, NOAA, FEMA, USACE, EPA, PREQB, UPR-Mayagüez Program of Marine Sciences, representatives from the civil society

 

Implementation: Medium-term

 

22.8 Using the results of foregoing strategies (22.1–22.7), organize a multisectoral workshop of experts to discuss strategies for adaptation to climate change for the SJBE. Participants in implementation: SJBEP (principal), PRDNER’s Coastal Zone Program, USFWS, NOAA, FEMA, USACE, EPA, PREQB, UPR-Mayagüez Program of Marine Sciences, representatives from the civil society

 

Implementation: Medium-term

 

22.9 Develop a Climate Change Adaptation Plan for the Estuary. This plan should detail specific actions and strategies, the agencies and organizations participating in implementation, costs, and potential sources of financing/funding. Participants in implementation: SJBEP (principal), PRDNER’s Coastal Zone Program, USFWS, NOAA, FEMA, USACE, EPA, PREQB, UPR-Mayagüez Program of Marine Sciences, representatives from the civil society

 

Implementation: Medium-term

 

22.10 Encourage taking (1) the effects of climate change and (2) adaptive strategies into account in planning for new infrastructure (e.g., houses, storm drain systems) and land use in the SJBE. Participants in implementation: Planning Board (principal), PRDNER, PREQB, EPA, USACE, NOAA

 

Implementation: Long-term

 

22.11 Educate interest groups in the SJBE on the effects of climate change and on mitigation and adaptation measures that should be taken, and involve these groups in finding solutions/ actions. Participants in implementation: EPA (principal, through CREP), PRDNER, SJBEP

 

Implementation: Medium-term